Search Predictions 2010

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by Gary Reid on January 3, 2010

So, what’s in store for search marketing in 2010? Well here’s my predictions as to what both SEO and PPC marketers will be looking at in the year to come.

Brandrank

As search starts to move away from Pagerank and towards brandrank a brands social graph will become more important. Merely monitoring social media will not be sufficient, brands will need to engage fully with social media to ensure they have fresh comments and links from the major social media sites.

Personalised Search

No two people will see the same results page on Google, this will mean straight forward ranking as a metric will truly disappear. Behaviour will group consumers together and this will require best of class web analytics.

Beginning of the end for the Browser

Google Chrome OS and Windows are both moving towards search in context, in other words right from your spreadsheet or word processor. The danger of this move is that search could become interruptive.

Filters over Indexes

Google rarely if ever filters results to display something different to that which is in its index. But, as trends and queries and clicks start to tell Google a story for certain quick moving topics filters may be the only way to display relevant results until the index has had time to catch up. For some the index may never catch up. Universal search was the answer to this but as so few news sources have access to Google News blogs with fresh content still struggle to beat old, authoritative pages.

Mobile Search

Pizza, Taxi… enough said? Okay, probably not, Yes people are now using mobiles to search and apparently for more than just Pizza’s and Taxi’s! Those two terms accounted for a huge percentage of searches on Yahoo’s mobile search platform. Mobile is here, it is different to web search. Less navigational terms, lots of misspellings, so be ready…

PPC in 2010

Like most advertising channels paid search has had a rough time in 2009, budgets squeezed, conversion rates down, longer user journey’s and a consumer focus on value.

PCG (FMCG)

Packaged Consumer Goods companies will ‘invent the challenge’ in 2010. Paid search hasn’t been a natural channel for these companies because of it’s direct response nature. With users now spending 13 hours a week surfing the web compared to about 3.8 hours a day watching TV this is a channel that can’t be ignored and won’t be ignored by this vertical. Especially when you consider how many people do both together.

The FMCG company that invents the challenge, asks the right questions and creates a search strategy that works will have competitive advantage. What’s the consumer action if we don’t sell online?

Split Testing

Major PPC campaigns have never had enough split testing. The idea of testing creative copy in paid search adverts is widely used, but testing copy/landing page/offer isn’t. Next years winners will be those who follow the pure players; be able to quickly test hundreds of landing pages against many different offers. The prize will be conversion rates well above industry averages and whilst giving cost benefits will also promote growth and profits.

Watch out in your vertical for signs of your competitors carrying out large multivariate testing on their paid search campaigns.

Vertical Search

As CPC inflation will continue the smart retailers are already fully embracing vertical search, feeds will become important, especially if we consider browser-less search.

Integration

Last year saw many brands embrace integration and this will continue in 2010 as they look to drive even more value from advertising budgets. I’m not sure the world is going towards full comms planning in 2010 but everything is shifting in that direction. As people live in-line (concurrently off-line and on-line) so integrated campaigns make more sense.

Pure-Play vs Clicks’n'Bricks

We will see a greater divergence in search marketing from these two differing business models.

Many pure players have ‘mature’ search marketing campaigns, gaining extra impression volume will require them to think outside of the funnel. I can see pure players heading towards becoming publishers as they seek out greater volume from ‘emotional’ as well as ‘functional’ keywords.We may also see the expansion of pure players into bricks and mortar, although Amazon have denied they are opening any physical shops.

The clicks’n'bricks retailers will move further towards multi-channel as ‘click and collect’ becomes more widespread. The key for these retailers will be analytics, finding ways to measure both foot traffic and phone orders prompted by search.

In summary it’s going to be an exciting year for search.

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Social Graph and Google Caffeine

social graph and google

by Gary Reid on December 7, 2009

For sometime most SEO consultants have understood ‘link graph’ it’s a way of describing the link profile of a site, SEOmoz have a Whiteboard Friday video if you want to know more.

However, since Google announced the launch of Caffeine in the new year it may be that a new buzzword will be getting talked about – social graph.

Back in June I wrote about Google Rich Snippets, basically Google adding more ‘texture’ to search results by using Microformats to add in reviews etc to certain search results.

For me this said two things:

  1. Google knows about Microformats
  2. They’re not afraid to use them

When Google announced the launch of Caffeine, they went to some length to delay the actual full launch until the new year, so as not to affect retailers.

Read into this what you will, but, they must be thinking the release will have an impact on retailers so delayed, just in time for an impact on the travel industry!

So, what does Caffiene have to do with your social graph?

Imagine if Google decided it wanted a way, other than domain age and Pagerank to identify trusted sites, then imagine they also wanted sites that have fresh content and get high numbers of links quickly to this fresh content, take it a step further and imagine they want sites that get talked about and linked to naturally.

What you end up with is a situation where Google may want to understand the social graph of a site, a map of everybody! A map where it isn’t about a few links from pages with huge trust/pagerank, but one where connections matter, where identity, relationship and the identity of relationships are important.

This isn’t about ‘nofollow’ or ‘dofollow’ this is about XFN, FOAF, hCards.

So, links from Twitter may have the ‘nofollow‘ tag on them, so they don’t pass Pagerank, but they are marked up with ‘rel contact’. This means Google knows just how many friends you have and as Caffeine indexes more of the web than ever before Google is looking in the dusty corners to see just how popular you are.

This means Caffeine may give Google the power to use social graphs as a ranking factor in natural search results – the power of your social graph may help you achieve better rankings.

My guess is that for now it won’t have a huge impact at keyword level for natural search results, but the social graph may be something that builds a domains overall trust, like a baseline.

Smart sites will start marking their code with Microformats, building a social profile and letting their social graph start to say who they are by the company they keep, the really smart sites will start monitoring how they fit into the map of everything.

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Search Marketing can Build Brand

by Gary ReidNovember 22, 2009
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On Friday E-Consultancy released a summary of search marketing stats that included some of the results published by Google earlier in the month regarding search and its ability to effectively build brands.
The findings are quite interesting:

A Search impression alone creates 23% more brand preference for Heineken than the whole Heineken campaign without search. A search [...]

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Domino’s Pizza Coupon Strategy

by Gary ReidNovember 21, 2009
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In a world of last click wins the coupon sites have been having a field day recently. As us shoppers land on the checkout page and are confronted by that oh so tempting ‘do you have a discount code’ box we all ‘Ctrl t’ to open a new tab, hit Google and enter the search [...]

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Ad Sitelinks the new Google Ad Extension

by Gary ReidNovember 8, 2009
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Yet again Google add a new extension to their paid search offering – Ad Sitelinks. Sitelinks for natural search results have been around for sometime, they usually appear for brand terms or results that are absolutely the ‘best answer’, they appear as up to 8 links under the result, like this
Not so long ago Google [...]

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Youtube Removes Nofollow

by Gary ReidNovember 8, 2009
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Back in March I added a video on my test video blog regarding the overuse of the ‘nofollow’ tag by social media sites. Just to recap, the ‘nofollow’ tag is a way to link to another site without passing Pagerank. If the ‘nofollow’ tag is used on a link then Google doesn’t use that link [...]

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Top 10 SEO Blogs July 2009

by Gary ReidJuly 30, 2009
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I thought it might be a good idea to look at the top SEO bloggers and see if they eat their own breakfast cereal, totally unfair of course, really just a bit of fun after seeing this post about 50 SEO blogs you should read.
So, don’t take it too seriously, I’ve just taken the Pagerank, [...]

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Google UK

by Gary ReidJune 18, 2009
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For quite sometime there’s been a multitude of things client side that have affected search results, such as different computers, different browsers, different times, different data centres, different locations and so on. This has always made it difficult to track all but very strong search results positions.
When you are logged into Google you can get [...]

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Are you Ready for Google Rich Snippets

by Gary ReidJune 8, 2009
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Google first announced the incorporation of Rich Snippets over a month ago and they are slowly being rolled out in the USA via Google.com. Probably the best coverage at the time was by Tim O’Reilly who summed up the move as follows.
Rich snippets could be a turning point for the Semantic Web, since, for the [...]

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Google Kills PageRank Sculpting

by Gary ReidJune 7, 2009
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As reported by  Search Engine Land, Google announced the death of PageRank sculpting, the practice of squeezing PageRank to certain pages by placing nofollow tags on some links. Danny writes:
So today at SMX Advanced, sculpting was being discussed, and then Matt Cutts dropped a bomb shell that it no longer works to help flow more [...]

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